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	<title>Comments on: GDP as Economic Indicator: Why Q3 Growth Doesn&#8217;t Spell Recovery</title>
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	<description>Personal Finance for the Young and Ambitious</description>
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		<title>By: Edwin</title>
		<link>http://www.moneyunder30.com/gdp-economic-indicator-q3-growth/comment-page-1#comment-4051</link>
		<dc:creator>Edwin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 31 Dec 2009 02:27:28 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Y.S., I think one unique aspect of the US economy that is affecting this offset ratio is the significance of financial institutions and financial services in our economy.  We have so many different &quot;investment&quot; products which no longer really do the job that investments traditionally do for an economy (as was widely seen in this great recession).  

I would be curious what our GDP would look like if we got this industry under control.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Y.S., I think one unique aspect of the US economy that is affecting this offset ratio is the significance of financial institutions and financial services in our economy.  We have so many different &#8220;investment&#8221; products which no longer really do the job that investments traditionally do for an economy (as was widely seen in this great recession).  </p>
<p>I would be curious what our GDP would look like if we got this industry under control.</p>
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		<title>By: Y.S.</title>
		<link>http://www.moneyunder30.com/gdp-economic-indicator-q3-growth/comment-page-1#comment-4050</link>
		<dc:creator>Y.S.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 31 Dec 2009 02:18:52 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Edwin,

Thanks for your comment.  I&#039;ll try to elaborate on what I meant.

I do agree with you that higher private consumption can help businesses become more profitable, driving the economy upward.  However, in the US, throughout the long economic growth period of the 80&#039;s, 90&#039;s and 00&#039;s,  private consumption in the US has inched higher and higher, becoming a bigger piece of the GDP pie (a little over two-thirds now).  One of the biggest problems with this trend is the growing trade deficit.  Since the mid 1980s, the US has continued to accumulate deficit in tradeable goods, especially with Asian countries like China and Japan.  These countries now hold large sums of US debt that has funded the consumption.  Countries with a higher savings rate (Canada, Japan, China) tend to have trade surpluses.  Many economists believe that GDP and employment can be dragged down by a large deficit in the long run.

Thus I&#039;m advocating for a rebalancing of the GDP pie, where the majority of growth is not driven by private consumption, but by investments and exports.

A rebalancing away from consumption could help sustain a more long-term recovery.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Edwin,</p>
<p>Thanks for your comment.  I&#8217;ll try to elaborate on what I meant.</p>
<p>I do agree with you that higher private consumption can help businesses become more profitable, driving the economy upward.  However, in the US, throughout the long economic growth period of the 80&#8217;s, 90&#8217;s and 00&#8217;s,  private consumption in the US has inched higher and higher, becoming a bigger piece of the GDP pie (a little over two-thirds now).  One of the biggest problems with this trend is the growing trade deficit.  Since the mid 1980s, the US has continued to accumulate deficit in tradeable goods, especially with Asian countries like China and Japan.  These countries now hold large sums of US debt that has funded the consumption.  Countries with a higher savings rate (Canada, Japan, China) tend to have trade surpluses.  Many economists believe that GDP and employment can be dragged down by a large deficit in the long run.</p>
<p>Thus I&#8217;m advocating for a rebalancing of the GDP pie, where the majority of growth is not driven by private consumption, but by investments and exports.</p>
<p>A rebalancing away from consumption could help sustain a more long-term recovery.</p>
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		<title>By: Edwin</title>
		<link>http://www.moneyunder30.com/gdp-economic-indicator-q3-growth/comment-page-1#comment-4049</link>
		<dc:creator>Edwin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Dec 2009 23:26:52 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>I agree that just GDP growth by itself is a poor way to measure any sort of recovery.  Two very glaring problems are the still-high rate of unemployment and that the GDP is not growing fast enough to recover our employment rate in anywhere near a short time frame.

I&#039;m somewhat confused on your analysis of the private consumption of the US.  It seems that you say it&#039;s bad that private consumption is such a high portion of GDP but don&#039;t necessarily specify why or what affect that percentage has on our recovery.

If you think that private consumption is a bad sign for recover, I have to disagree.  Right now what our economy needs most in an increase in consumption, preferably private (although government seems to be the only real options) so business becomes more profitable and can begun running at full capacity again, thus rehiring more workers and fixing our unemployment woes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree that just GDP growth by itself is a poor way to measure any sort of recovery.  Two very glaring problems are the still-high rate of unemployment and that the GDP is not growing fast enough to recover our employment rate in anywhere near a short time frame.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m somewhat confused on your analysis of the private consumption of the US.  It seems that you say it&#8217;s bad that private consumption is such a high portion of GDP but don&#8217;t necessarily specify why or what affect that percentage has on our recovery.</p>
<p>If you think that private consumption is a bad sign for recover, I have to disagree.  Right now what our economy needs most in an increase in consumption, preferably private (although government seems to be the only real options) so business becomes more profitable and can begun running at full capacity again, thus rehiring more workers and fixing our unemployment woes.</p>
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